Watching Newsnight yesterday 
evening was one of the worst examples of a political post-mortem I think I’ve 
ever experienced.  The subject was the imminent fall of Aleppo to the Russian 
supported government of President Bashar al-Assad that commentators think 
represents perhaps not the end of the civil war but the beginning of the end of 
the civil war.  Aleppo itself may not matter much on Moscow's strategic 
chess-board. But the defeat of the rebel opposition there underscores the 
extraordinary turn-around in President Assad's fortunes. Before Russia 
intervened President Assad was on the ropes, his military power crumbling; now 
it looks as if he’ll win.  The West’s response…a fiery exchange at the UN, 
with US Ambassador Samantha Power accusing Syria and its allies of contributing 
to ‘a noose around civilians’ asking  ‘Are you truly incapable of shame?’
She is, of course, right. The civil war has been characterised 
by a total indifference to the fate of civilians who have been subjected to 
unspeakable atrocities, a new barbarism.  But the West is also culpable.  Since 
the invasion of Iraq in 2003—either an unprovoked assault on an independent 
country that may have breached international law or something authorised by 
United Nation sanction—the West has completely failed to stabilise the region 
and arguably has made the situation worse.  By removing despicable dictators in 
Iraq and then in Libya, initiating regime change and then failing to provide the 
mechanism to create a stable future, the West has been guilty of gross 
stupidity.  The scenario seems to have been…remove dictator, establishing a 
western style democratic government, let the liberated people get on with this 
and then act surprised when it all falls apart.  What this shows…apart from the 
hubris of the West…is that you can’t simply transplant democracy to countries 
with no real tradition of liberal democratic institutions.  The same applies to 
the so-called ‘Arab Spring’---I remember commenting on my blog at the time that 
the 1848 European revolutions came to mind…things that shone brightly and 
briefly and were then snuffed out by the forces of reaction…and so it was.  The 
West encouraged political aspirations and then expressed surprise when things 
did not turn out as they believed they ought.  The West’s interference in the 
region has largely been disastrous.
As the bombs continue to fall on Aleppo and its people, we sit 
well fed in our warm, comfortable houses and wring our hands at the inhumanity 
of man.  We moralise.  We call for the war to end, for the evacuation of 
civilians, for the feeding of the people starved for weeks.  We give 
words…words…words.  But we do nothing.  In fact, words are all we can give as 
the West has effectively abdicated any responsibility it may have felt for 
Syria.  I am reminded of Sir Humphrey’s words on the principles of foreign 
policy…’perhaps there was something we could have done…but it’s too late 
now!’
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